Regional flood-risk map for Oregon, Washington & Coastal British Columbia
Regional Guide · Tier 3

The PNW's flood seasonis now nine months long.

The Pacific Northwest used to count its flood threat in three storms a winter. Atmospheric rivers — the same phenomenon now defining California's flood map — have made the PNW one of the fastest-growing flood-loss regions in the country. The November 2021 atmospheric river that submerged Sumas and Abbotsford was a warning shot. The state of Washington has formally classified ARs as a separate hazard category.

Atmospheric rivers · River basin flooding · Coastal king tides

$450M
Washington AR damages — November 2021
19 in
Rainfall in 48 hours — Bellingham, Nov 2021
3x
AR frequency increase projected by 2050
Sep–May
Modern PNW atmospheric river season

Sources: NOAA National Hurricane Center · NOAA NCEI Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters · National Weather Service. Figures reflect published agency totals; rounded where noted.

High-risk regions of the Pacific Northwest — and what's stored there.

Seattle / Puget Sound

Atmospheric river runoff plus king-tide coastal flooding. Heavy European exotic concentration on Mercer Island and Bainbridge.

Portland / Willamette Valley

Willamette and Columbia basin flooding. Concentration of restored American iron and pre-war vehicles in the West Hills.

Columbia River Gorge

Post-Eagle Creek fire debris flow plus AR runoff. Inherited family vehicles in Hood River and The Dalles.

Olympic Peninsula / Coast

Direct AR landfall zone. Weekend collector vehicles and restored American trucks.

Skagit & Whatcom Valleys

Nov 2021 ground zero. Dairy country with deep agricultural-vehicle restoration tradition.

Vancouver Island / Sunshine Coast

AR landfall plus king-tide coastal events. Cross-border PNW collections.

Pre-Event Protocol

The Pacific Northwest AR protocol.

Forecast windows are shrinking. AR Cat 3 or higher: deploy.

  1. AR-5 day
    Watch the NOAA AR scale. PNW ARs frequently arrive in 2- and 3-storm sequences.
  2. AR-3 day
    Pre-stage the vault. Confirm drainage and any post-fire watershed exposure.
  3. AR-1 day
    Deploy before the first band. PNW AR rainfall is high-intensity and long-duration.
  4. AR-0
    Stay inside. Plan for sealed exposure of 48–96 hours per event.

The atmospheric river that 'never happens here' now happens every winter.

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